Liang Cai

My Research

Activity Space, Human Mobility, & Social Context

Data and Method:

  • Individual level GPS location tracking and travel survey in Chicago Metro Area.
  • Novel spatial approach and multilevel models.

Highlights:

  • Introduce a novel and flexible individual-level method for assessing activity space exposures that accounts for the spatially proximate environment around home.

  • Develop empirical definitions of home based on building footprints and satellite images.
  • Analyses reveal that activity space contexts mimic the racial/ethnic and socio-economic landscape of respondents' broad residential environment, but additional individual heterogeneity, particulaly with respect to age or cohort differences, is also observed.

Understanding Neighborhood Income Segregation Around the Clock Using Mobile Phone Ambient Population Data

Published in Humanities and Social Sciences Communications (2024)

With Guangwen Song and Yanji Zhang

Data and Method:

  • Grid level mobile phone ambient population data by income in urban Guangzhou, China.
  • Ordinal entropy for ordered income groups and group-based trajectory analysis.

Highlights:

  • Both income seg. and the effect of urban functions on seg. fluctuate around the clock.
  • Segregation trajectories are categorically determined by their initial segregation levels. Hourly variations of segregation and trajectory shifts across days are limited.
  • The dynamic daily segregation in the ambient population may be a real-time channel for constant neighborhood contextual influences, potentially fueling long-term residential segregation and neighborhood change.

Comparative Assessment of the Feasibility and Validity of Daily Activity Space in Urban and Non-Urban Settings

Published in PLOS ONE (2024)

With Sarah Kwiatek, Kathleen Cagney, William Copeland, V. Joseph Hotz, and Rick Hoyle

Data and Method:

  • Individual level GPS tracking in rural & urban N. Carolina and American Time Use Survey.
  • Spatial analysis and comparative descriptive analyses.

Highlights:

  • Examine the validity of the activity space method, comparing feasibility and data quality in urban and non-urban contexts.
  • Show high agreement between respondent self-reports and American Time Use Survey.
  • Activity space method is easily implemented and produces data of comparable quality in both settings. The major differences in GPS density and accuracy came from the operating system (iOS versus Android) of the device.

Human Mobility and Activity Space

Published in Annual Review of Sociology (2020)

With Kathleen Cagney, Erin York Cornwell, and Alyssa Goldman

Data and Method:

  • Literature review.

Highlights:

  • Define the concept of activity space, describe its origins in urban sociology, and examine the extent to which activity space approaches advance sociological research.
  • Focus on four substantive domains—spatial inequality and segregation, social connectedness and engagement, crime and offending patterns, and health and health-related behavior.
  • Describe the evolution of methods for location tracking and new approaches that hold promise for maximizing urban mobility and activity space contributions, including data augmentation approaches for sociological research.

Criminology of Place/Crime Geography

No Place Like Home? Local Crime and Older Adults' Mobility

Published in Social Problems

With Alyssa Goldman and Christopher Browning

Data and Method:

  • Longitudinal individual GPS location tracking and Ecological Momentary Assessment (EMA) in Chicago Metro Area.
  • Multilevel models.

Highlights:

  • Explicitly test the effect of local crime level on older adults' mobility behavior, particularly in time allocation inside vs. outside the home space.
  • Findings suggest that older adults living in higher crime areas spend less time at home, on average. The effect is mediated by higher perceived unsafety at home.
  • Neighborhood characteristics can permeate the boundaries of the home, adversely affecting an already vulnerable population in ways that may exacerbate inequality in community engagement, collective efficacy, and health.

Causal Effect of Small Businesses on Street Theft: Evidence from a Natural Experiment of the Beijing Cleanup Campaign

Published in Journal of Quantitative Criminology (2024)

With Yanji Zhang, Guangwen Song, and Yongyi You

Data and Method:

  • Grid level street view images, court judgments, and location-based service population in central Beijing, China.
  • Deep learning and difference-in-difference (DID).

Highlights:

  • Examine the causal impact of small businesses on street theft and the underlying mechanisms, testing and advancing our understanding of classic criminology theories (routine activities, crime pattern, eyes on the street)
  • The treatment units (a mass loss of small businesses) showed a significant reduction in street theft compared to the control units. Ambient population and social activity played a mediating role in promoting and deterring crime, respectively, with the former dominating.
  • While small businesses exercise a certain amount of natural surveillance power, as a whole, they function primarily as crime generators.

The Long-Term Theft Prediction in Beijing Using Machine Learning Algorithms: Comparison and Interpretation

Published in Crime and Delinquency (2023)

With Yanji Zhang, Guangwen Song, and Chunwu Zhu

Data and Method:

  • Grid level court judgments, socio-economic and ambient population LBS data in the urban core of Beijing, China.
  • Machine learning and SHAP interpreter.

Highlights:

  • Compare the performance of multiple machine learning algorithms in predicting the spatial pattern of theft.
  • Reveal nonlinear and spatially heterogeneous associations between environmental features and theft.
  • Summarize six relation types of such associations at the global scale and cluster grids according to feature contribution at the local scale.

Data and Method:

  • Grid level mobile phone ambient population data and crime statistics in a major Chinese city.
  • Negative binomial regressions.

Highlights:

  • Focus on the internal heterogeneity of ambient population by income and its impact on theft.
  • Results highlight the heterogeneous segments of the ambient population, coupled with the dynamic human mobility patterns, structure the convergence of the crime triangle in nuanced yet crucial ways.

From Residential Neighborhood to Activity Space: The Effects of Educational Segregation on Crime and Their Moderation by Social Context

Published in Annals of American Association of Geographers (2022)

With Yanji Zhang, Guangwen Song, Lin Liu, and Chunwu Zhu

Data and Method:

  • Grid level court judgments, socio-economic and ambient population LBS data in the urban core of Beijing, China.
  • Dissimilarity index (D) at micro units (grids) and negative binomial regressions.

Highlights:

  • Move focus to the impact of education segregation on crime at micro scale in activity spaces (vs. dominant residential racial segregation at the global scale).
  • Both residential and activity space segregation significantly increase the risk of theft and violence, with activity space–based segregation more consequential.
  • Results highlight the elevated influence of segregation on safety beyond the residential space, especially for areas clustered with the less educated ambient population.

Residents, Employees and Visitors: Effects of Three Types of Ambient Population on Theft on Weekdays and Weekends in Beijing, China

Published in Journal of Quantitative Criminology (2021)

With Guangwen Song, Yanji Zhang, Wim Bernasco, and Lin Liu

Data and Method:

  • Grid level court judgments, socio-economic and ambient population LBS data in the urban core of Beijing, China.
  • Negative binomial regressions.

Highlights:

  • Focus on the internal heterogeneity of ambient population by distinguishing residents, employees, and visitors and their differential impact on theft.
  • The effects of ambient population on thefts vary by its composition in terms of social roles.
  • Larger ambient populations imply larger theft frequencies. The effect of visitors is stronger than the effects of residents and employees. The effects of residents and employees vary over the course of the week.

Other Topics

How to Analyze GPS/Location Data

Published in Sage Research Methods: Doing Research Online (2022)

With Kathleen Cagney, Christopher Browning, Erin York Cornwell

Data and Method:

  • Methodology introduction and literature review.

Highlights:

  • A graduate-level guide on location data.
  • Topics covered: basic elements of GPS data, how to prepare for GPS data analysis, different sources of GPS data, common data preprocessing tasks and challenges, GPS data augmentation, and major strands of social science research using such data.

Understanding Suicidal Ideation in China: Nationwide Distribution, Social Determinants and Geographic Variations

Manuscript available upon request

Forthcoming at Humanities and Social Sciences Communication

With Yanji Zhang and Chunwu Zhu

Data and Method:

  • Internet search big data (Baidu Index).
  • Geographically weighted regressions.

Highlights:

  • Use novel Internet search big data to explore sensitive topics (suicidal ideation) at large scale.
  • Provide China’s first nationwide spatial pattern of suicidal ideation at the city level.
  • Examine social, demographic, economic, and environmental determinants of suicidal ideation and their region-specific effects.

Safety Perceptions among African Migrants in Guangzhou and Foshan, China

Published in Cities (2020)

With Guangwen Song, Lin Liu, and Shenjing He

Data and Method:

  • Respondent driven sampling survey among African migrants in Guangzhou and Foshan, China.
  • Multilevel ordered logistic regressions.

Highlights:

  • Examine safety perceptions among international migrants in China, a developing country and non-traditional destination (where resources, support, and policies are lacking).
  • Observe significant variations in major predictors of perceptions of property safety and personal safety.

Ongoing Projects

The Social Context of Spatial Choice: Activity Locations and Residential Segregation

JOB MARKET PAPER, available upon request

Under Review. Presented at PAA, Demography Workshop, and SCRAMBLE

With Christopher Browning and Luc Anselin

Data and Method:

  • Individual level travel survey data in Chicago Metro Area.
  • Discrete choice models.

Highlights:

  • Integrate behavioral expectations in urban sociological theories (geographic isolation and compelled mobility) with decision science.
  • Introduce segregated cluster (i.e., ghetto) as a social context that shapes everyday spatial choice (both through Origin and potential Destination).
  • (Dis)Advantage in institutional resources and safety largely explains people’s everyday activity location choices. Black segregation clusters have a net segregation effect among Whites that discourages them from visiting.

Rurality: A Comparison of Geographic Classifications and People’s Perceptions

Manuscript available upon request

Under Review

With Sarah Kwiatek, Paige Brann, Kathleen Cagney, William Copeland, V. Joseph Hotz, and Rick Hoyle

Data and Method:

  • Individual level GPS location tracking in rural and urban North Carolina.
  • Spatial analysis and comparative descriptive analyses.

Highlights:

  • Highlight the individual perception of rurality about their home space and compare official designated rurality against individual perceptions.
  • Results show a substantial subgroup of people classified as living in nonrural areas who perceive that they live in a rural area.
  • The mismatched group have uniquely different beliefs and behaviors from those whose self-perceptions match their geographic classification.

Non-spatial and Spatial Inequalities in Exposure to Physical Disorder across Chinese Cities Using Urban Visual Intelligence

Manuscript available upon request

Under Review

With Yanji Zhang, Yongyi You, Guangwen Song, and Luc Anselin

Data and Method:

  • 33 million Street View images across 360 Chinese cities from 2013 to 2022.
  • Observed and perceived physical disorder using computer vision methods (object detection and image regression).
  • Fixed effects models.

Highlights:

  • One of the first large-scale projects in China to examine different forms of inequalities and their evolutionary patterns across cities
  • Non-spatial and spatial inequalities follow distinct geographical and evolutionary patterns.

Making Burglary Choice in Social Context: Neighborhood Concentrated Disadvantage, Spatial Knowledge, and Physical Disorder

Manuscript available upon request

Under Review

With Christopher Browning, Yanji Zhang, and Guangwen Song

Data and Method:

  • Observed & perceived physical disorder from 107,858 street view images (computer vision).
  • 1972 burglary arrests in a major Chinese city.
  • Discrete choice models.

Highlights:

  • Examine how neighborhood social contexts (concentrated disadvantage) structure burglars' decision making.
  • Offenders' spatial knowledge about the target context moderates decision preferences.